Statistical Models Face Pitfalls When Forecasting Fish Populations

School of Jack Fish

Effective fisheries governance depends on forecasts of the size of fish populations under different management options. For this, statistical models of fish populations are used. A new study led by Dr. Laura Storch and Secure Fisheries’ Dr. Sarah Glaser shows many popular models oversimplify what happens to fish populations and can give a false sense of certainty in population forecasting.

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